Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.769867 0.901287 1.048246 1.224771 1.431103 1.664724 1.949455
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.560702 0.734338 0.951076 1.241577 1.621078 2.100543 2.753328
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.473882 0.672289 0.940130 1.328331 1.877355 2.627417 3.732716
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.403768 0.611201 0.909595 1.370433 2.065563 3.077482 4.667729
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.344352 0.551246 0.865624 1.378500 2.196363 3.454006 5.543348
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.294792 0.496020 0.817077 1.367073 2.288706 3.776864 6.374827
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.256485 0.451620 0.777113 1.360116 2.382246 4.107871 7.259860
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.228746 0.420065 0.752594 1.373284 2.508003 4.504366 8.307006
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.196589 0.375450 0.698486 1.325128 2.516377 4.694455 9.008911
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.188326 0.373260 0.719612 1.416423 2.790964 5.397438 10.755555
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.164851 0.338380 0.674700 1.375027 2.805610 5.613347 11.591091
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.144108 0.305834 0.629676 1.326503 2.798110 5.782644 12.352698
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.126208 0.277030 0.589165 1.283454 2.799886 5.979029 13.218141
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.116246 0.263745 0.579042 1.303572 2.939208 6.481712 14.820548
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.113181 0.265124 0.600218 1.394831 3.246817 7.385957 17.446801
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.106638 0.257583 0.600625 1.439055 3.454052 8.095744 19.731828
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098282 0.244528 0.586640 1.447527 3.578595 8.632814 21.685873
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.089587 0.229339 0.565503 1.435528 3.651505 9.056853 23.423383
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082129 0.216145 0.547344 1.428221 3.734799 9.516681 25.318471
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.076579 0.207035 0.538032 1.442050 3.873851 10.133577 27.712112
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068405 0.189824 0.505849 1.391478 3.836849 10.295592 28.916987
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067771 0.192956 0.527054 1.487355 4.207944 11.577914 33.384637
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.061133 0.178427 0.499153 1.443880 4.187723 11.805011 34.916105